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Former Member
Oct 18, 2007 at 05:38 PM

Life Cycle : Phase In profile

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I have created the Phase in profile which started in the past say Aug 07 with factors 10, 20, 40, 60, 80,100 and ending on Jan 08. After end date apply constant factor is 50%. I ran the statistical forecast in interactive mode. The basic value starting from current month (oct 07) is 1000.

The result got in the statistical forecast is

Aug 07 - nothing

Sep 07 - nothing

Oct 07 - 100 --> taken 10% of 1000

Nov 07 - 200 --> taken 20% of 1000

Dec 07 - 400 --> taken 40% of 1000

Jan 08 - 600 --> taken 60% of 1000

Feb 08 - 500 ---> taken 50% of 1000

Mar 08 - 500 -


> taken 50% of 1000

If you notice 80% and 100% are skipped.

Phase in works only on forecast horizon.

1. Should system not take Oct 07 as 40%, Nov 07 as 60%, Dec as 80%

and Jan 08 as 100% ?

2. What would be the result when it is same time next month ?

Any suggestions ?

Thanks

Raj